
Breakdown — −33% over the month · medium confidence, sold-backed · supply thin, sales steady
The estimate for Monkey D. Luffy (Event Promo) sits at $40.79 — medium confidence from 4 of 5 markets, backed by recent sales. Over the last month it fell through its 90-day floor, −33% — behind the Pillars of Strength set (0.0%).
Listings sit below the last sales — sellers are undercutting. Supply on the Japanese market is thin and sales have been steady this month. A PSA 10 copy trades at roughly 6.8× raw ($271).
Built from the markets the estimate kept — see how the Atlas Estimate works.
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