
Spike retrace — −29% over the month · medium confidence, sold-backed · supply thin, sales quiet
The estimate for Hone-Kichi sits at $0.10 — medium confidence from 4 of 4 markets, backed by recent sales. It has given back 47% from a spike on 5 Oct, −29% over the month; the last week points the other way (+11%) — behind Commons as a group (−5.3%) and behind the Awakening of the New Era set (0.0%).
Listings and recent sales agree on the level. Markets disagree widely on this print (2.1× between the lowest and highest kept reading). The Japanese print of the same number trades at about 1.3× this one. Supply on the Japanese market is thin and sales have been quiet this month.
Built from the markets the estimate kept — see how the Atlas Estimate works.